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"A forced transition away from fossil fuels would reduce costs."

I imagine pulling a Germany and ditching Russian gas before running back to coal is quite costly.

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Apr 16·edited Apr 18

Real SCC will always be negative. Financial benefits to society of both warming and higher CO2 levels in better crop yields are significant. On the other side of the ledger there are essentially zero negative effects. Less people freezing to death in the middle of winter?

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This feels like a very dangerous precedent overall and one for which we will all benefit if it is overturned completely

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I awoke last night to the sound of thunder, how far off I sat and wondered.

No, not really, I was chilly.

It’s spring! The bedding has been re-rigged for summer and winter relapsed.

I could up the thermostat and heat the entire house or get a blanket from the closet.

Ummm, toasty.

Q = U A (Thot – Tcold) Thot = me under covers, Tcold = bedroom.

If U decreases dT increases and since Tcold does not change Thot (that’s me) increases.

More blanket decreases thermal conductivity, increases dT and I get warmer.

That’s why Venus is warmer than Earth, more blanket – and volcanoes.

U = conduction + convection + advection + latent + radiant

(conduction + convection + advection + latent) = kinetic heat transfer processes.

Radiant = σ ϵ A * T^4

ϵ = energy leaving system by radiation / energy of BB at system temperature.

(TFK_bams09)

160 = (17 + 80) kinetic + 63 (LWIR)

ϵ = 63 W/m^2 / 396 W/m^2 (16 C, 289 K) = 0.16.

No GHE/GHG/CO2 hocus pocus involved.

Thot is a function of the kinetic processes, radiation is a function of temperature, radiation is function of the kinetic processes.

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